Published Thu, 10 Jan 2019 05:47:40 -0500 on Seeking Alpha
"It would be wonderful if we could avoid the common setbacks with timely exits."
- Peter Lynch
In a perfect world, we would be genius investors that always get out on time and invest all their monies right before the market jumps back up. While this last sentence may seem a pure heresy for many of you, many claim and believe there are ways to know the unknown.
Recently, I've read many articles from those bear lovers jubilating back in October-November 2018 as the market was finally dropping. The announcements and discussions about the "current" bear market were legions. According to the most commonly used definition for a bear market, it must go down by 20% to be confirmed. Depending on which metrics you use to track the bear, you may or may not have seen it. After all, the S&P 500 hit -19.8% at its lowest point:
What about the next day? On December 26th, the market bounced back and the S&P 500 is now up by almost double-digit (+9.5%) before the market opens on January 9th,2019.
So where does this leave us? In a perfect world of confusion and uncertainties.
Is this a market comeback?
Is this a pause for a larger drop in the next weeks?
Who finished the orange juice and left the empty pint in the fridge?
I tend to have a simple and rational way of looking at the market. Whatever will happen in 2019 will happen - no matter what I think, no matter how I invest. There... Read more
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