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Treasury Snapshot: 10-Year Yield At 2.63%

Published Sun, 10 Feb 2019 14:00:17 -0500 on Seeking Alpha

Note: We've updated this commentary with data through the February 8th market close.
The yield on the 10-year note ended February 8, 2019, at 2.63% and the 30-year bond closed at 2.97%.

Here is a table showing the highs and lows of yields, and the FFR since 2007 as of the January 18 close.
The chart below shows the daily performance of several Treasuries and the Fed Funds Rate (FFR) since the pre-recession days of equity market peaks in 2007.

A Long-Term Look at the 10-Year Note Yield A log-scale snapshot of the 10-year yield offers a more accurate view of the relative change over time. Here is a long look since 1965, starting well before the 1973 Oil Embargo that triggered the era of "stagflation" (economic stagnation with inflation). Note the 1987 closing high on the Friday before the notorious Black Monday market crash. The S&P 500 fell 5.16% that Friday and 20.47% on Black Monday.

The 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage The latest Freddie Mac Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey puts the 30-year fixed at 4.45%. Here is a long look back, courtesy of a FRED graph, of the 30-year fixed rate mortgage average, which began in April of 1971.

Now let's see the 10-year against the S&P 500 with some notes on Federal Reserve intervention. Fed policy has been a major influence on market behavior.

Original post
Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.
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Stock name Last trade   P/E Earnings/Share Dividend/Share Dividend yield
VANGUARD EXTENDED DURATION TREASURY ETF 115.63   0.0 0.00 0.00 2.87
SPDR BARCLAYS CAPITAL 1-3 MONTH T-BILL ETF  

VANGUARD EXTENDED DURATION TREASURY ETF - EDV
VANGUARD EXTENDED DURATION TREASURY ETF - EDV  


Older articles featuring Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV):
Misreading The Signs: Is Yield-Curve Inversion A False Alarm?
The Inverted Yield Curve: Why It Will Not Lead To A Recession This Time
What Is The Yield Curve Telling Us?
April Yield Curve Update: Backing Off
What You Don't Know About The Yield Curve
ECB's Business Analyst On The Euro, Negative Rates And The Inverted Yield Curve
Inverted Yield Curve Fears Are Early
March 2019 Yield Curve Update
Why The Yield Curve Matters
When A Yield Curve Inversion Means Recession

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