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In The Wake Of Ex-Dividend

Published Tue, 17 Sep 2019 09:28:11 -0400 on Seeking Alpha

Investment thesis
There exists a price anomaly where the stock price would recover after the drop on the ex-dividend date. This recovery effect varies by holding period, and holding the stock longer (from 1 week to 4 weeks) produced a larger return with the same dispersion of returns. This anomaly is also exists after hedging with the SPY, showing the same pattern of increased returns for a longer holding period, with the same dispersion of returns.
Hedged returns can be considered as the stock outperforming the overall market, but there is no relationship between the stock's beta and the returns. This suggests that this price anomaly is a source of alpha.
Are there so many price anomalies around dividends?
I have previously written about 2 price anomalies around dividends: the price tends to rise between declaration date and ex-dividend date, and ex-dividend date price drop tends to be less than the dividend amount. There are anecdotes of yet another price anomaly a little further down the timeline, which is after the ex-dividend date price drop (or rise, if that happened). This is a curious little anomaly which I have not observed in my own trading, but have only seen mentioned about in various sites, and it is only mentioned in passing without much detail provided.
While my article on dividend stripping (or dividend capture, if you prefer the term) tried to isolate the price anomaly to only the overnight price drop, I also noted that there were other variations... Read more

Stock name Last trade   P/E Earnings/Share Dividend/Share Dividend yield
NUVEEN TAX-ADVANTAGED DIVIDEND GROWTH FUND 16.50   0.0 0.00 0.00 7.31
SPDR S&P DIVIDEND ETF 103.80   0.0 0.00 2.42 2.36
VANGUARD DIVIDEND APPRECIATION ETF 120.84   0.0 0.00 0.00 1.58

NUVEEN TAX-ADVANTAGED DIVIDEND GROWTH FUND - JTD
NUVEEN TAX-ADVANTAGED DIVIDEND GROWTH FUND - JTD  


Older articles featuring Nuveen Tax-advantaged Dividend Growth Fund (JTD):
Income Investing And The Changing Yield Curve
Yield Hunter CEF Report March 2019: Distribution Cuts Pick Up, But So Do Increases
Do Dividend-Paying Stocks Make Better Investments?
UST Yields Vs. S&P 500 Dividend Yields
High Yield For Granny (Part 2): Savvy 'Widows & Orphans' Portfolio Re-Visited
Who To Follow: Delving Into Dividends & Income
Dividends By The Numbers In July 2017
Beyond Dividends: Beating The Market With Shareholder Yield
The Risks Of Focusing Too Much On Dividend Yields
March's Best And Worst 15 CCC Stocks With Market Caps Greater Than $20 Billion And Yield Greater Than 2%

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