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50 Top U.S. REITs By Gains And Yield Based On February Broker Forecasts

Published Mon, 17 Feb 2020 16:36:05 -0500 on Seeking Alpha

Braemar Hotels showed top-broker estimated-gains at 56.86%, while New York Mortgage promised 12.72% yield (returns) out of 84 U.S. Real Estate Investment Trusts surveyed from YCharts February 14.
Top 10 net-gainers RC, TWO, GNL, AJX, NRZ, WSR, AFIN, PK, RLJ, and SVC ranged 10.65-22.77% 2/14/20. The top 50 US REITs by yield represented 8 of 9 REIT industries.
50 Top US REITs by Yield ranged 6.41-12.72%. Top ten, ARI, MFA, CXW, TWO, MITT, IVR, NRZ, WMC, AHOTF, and NYMT, averaged 11.09% yield.
50 Top US REITs by Broker Target Upsides ranged -0.35-56.86%. Top ten, APLE, SVC, GOOD, BRG, RPAI, JCAP, RESI, ALX, CXW & BHR, averaged 24.27% price target upside.
$5k invested in the lowest-priced five February top-yield US Real Estate Investment Trusts showed 5.84% more net gain than that from $5k invested in all ten. Little, lower-priced REITs returned to lead the pack as of February 14.
Actionable Conclusions (1-10): Analysts Estimated 10.65% To 22.77% Net Gains By Top Ten US REITs Come February 2021
Two of ten top dividend-yielding US Real Estate Investment Trust stocks found their way into the top ten gainers for the coming year based on analyst 1-year target prices. (They are tinted gray in the chart below). Thus, our yield-based forecast for REIT stocks was certified 20% accurate by broker target forecasts.
Projections based on estimated dividend returns from $1000 invested in each of the highest yielding stocks and their aggregate one year analyst median target prices, as reported by YCharts, created the 2020-21 data points. Note: one-year target prices from single analysts were not applied (n/a). Ten probable profit-generating trades projected by brokers to February 2021 were:
Source: YCharts

Service Properties Trust (SVC) was projected to net $227.70 based on dividends, plus the median target price from estimates by four analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate's risk 3% under the market as a whole.
RLJ... Read more

Stock name Last trade   P/E Earnings/Share Dividend/Share Dividend yield
NEW RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENT 14.98   18.0 0.83 2.00 13.28
NEW YORK MORTGAGE TRUST 6.14   12.0 0.51 0.80 12.74
WESTERN ASSET MORTGAGE CAPITAL 9.83   10.7 0.92 1.24 12.58
TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT 13.28   0.0 -2.81 1.60 12.02
INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL 15.18   0.0 -1.01 1.80 11.80
AG MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST 17.47   6.1 2.87 1.90 10.89
MFA FINANCIAL 7.39   10.4 0.71 0.80 10.81
CORECIVIC 18.06   12.0 1.51 1.76 9.83
APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCE 19.35   12.6 1.54 1.84 9.57
WHITESTONE REIT 13.84   25.2 0.55 1.14 8.62