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Published Wed, 01 Jul 2020 09:10:14 -0400 on Seeking Alpha
Seeking AlphaREITsAnnaly Capital's Dividend, BV, And Valuation Vs. 20 mREIT Peers - Part 2 (Includes Q3-Q4 2020 Dividend Projection)Jul. 1, 2020 9:10 AM ET|| About: Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY), Includes: AGNC, AGNCM, AGNCN, AGNCO, AGNCP, AI, AI.PB, AI.PC, AIC, AIW, ANH, ANH.PA, ANH.PB, ANH.PC, ARR, ARR.PC, BXMT, CHMI, CHMI.PA, CHMI.PB, CIM, CIM.PA, CIM.PB, CIM.PC, CIM.PD, CMO, CMO.PE, DX, DX.PB, DX.PC, EFC, GPMT, IVR, IVR.PA, IVR.PB, IVR.PC, MFA, MFA.PB, MFA.PC, MFO, MITT, MITT.PA, MITT.PB, MITT.PC, MORT, NLY.PD, NLY.PF, NLY.PG, NLY.PI, NRZ, NRZ.PA, NRZ.PB, NRZ.PC, NYMT, NYMTM, NYMTN, NYMTO, NYMTP, ORC, PMT, PMT.PA, PMT.PB, REM, REML, TWO, TWO.PA, TWO.PB, TWO.PC, TWO.PD, TWO.PE, WMCby: Scott KennedyScott Kennedy The REIT ForumEasy Portfolios, Real-Time Buy Alerts, and A Better RecordSummaryThis article compares NLY’s recent dividend per share rates, yield percentages, and several dividend sustainability metrics to twenty mREIT peers.
This includes an analysis of NLY’s quarterly estimated REIT taxable income, estimated core earnings, and normalized core earnings which directly impact the company's dividend sustainability.
This article also discusses NLY’s dividend decrease for the second quarter of 2019 and 2020 and projects NLY’s dividend sustainability for the third-fourth quarters of 2020.
My current NLY buy, sell, or hold recommendation and current BV projection (BV as of 6/19/2020) are stated in the “Conclusions Drawn” section of the article.
Focus of Article:
The focus of this two-part article is to provide a very detailed analysis comparing NLY to all the mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) peers I currently cover. I am writing this two-part article due to the continued requests that such an analysis be specifically performed on NLY and some of the company’s mREIT peers at periodic intervals. For readers who just want the summarized conclusions/results, I would suggest to scroll down to the “Conclusions... Read more
Stock name | Last trade | P/E | Earnings/Share | Dividend/Share | Dividend yield | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL | 5.58 | 0.0 | -0.29 | 0.96 | 17.75 | |||||||
ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT | 5.55 | 0.0 | -1.21 | 0.90 | 16.58 | |||||||
CHERRY HILL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT | 13.52 | 0.0 | -3.91 | 1.60 | 14.40 | |||||||
NEW RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENT | 14.98 | 18.0 | 0.83 | 2.00 | 13.28 | |||||||
ANWORTH MORTGAGE ASSET | 3.39 | 0.0 | -0.98 | 0.44 | 13.17 | |||||||
NEW YORK MORTGAGE TRUST | 6.14 | 12.0 | 0.51 | 0.80 | 12.74 | |||||||
WESTERN ASSET MORTGAGE CAPITAL | 9.83 | 10.7 | 0.92 | 1.24 | 12.58 | |||||||
AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY | 15.64 | 0.0 | -1.54 | 1.92 | 12.21 | |||||||
DYNEX CAPITAL | 15.16 | 0.0 | -10.26 | 1.80 | 12.06 | |||||||
ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT | 17.26 | 0.0 | -9.30 | 2.04 | 12.03 | |||||||
TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT | 13.28 | 0.0 | -2.81 | 1.60 | 12.02 | |||||||
INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL | 15.18 | 0.0 | -1.01 | 1.80 | 11.80 | |||||||
AG MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST | 17.47 | 6.1 | 2.87 | 1.90 | 10.89 | |||||||
MFA FINANCIAL | 7.39 | 10.4 | 0.71 | 0.80 | 10.81 | |||||||
CHIMERA INVESTMENT | 19.57 | 21.5 | 0.91 | 2.00 | 10.23 | |||||||
ELLINGTON FINANCIAL | 17.90 | 16.3 | 1.10 | 1.68 | 9.44 | |||||||
PENNYMAC MORTGAGE INV TRUST | 22.24 | 9.5 | 2.35 | 1.88 | 8.50 | |||||||
BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST | 36.16 | 14.5 | 2.49 | 2.48 | 6.94 | |||||||
CAPSTEAD MORTGAGE | 7.41 | 0.0 | -0.86 | 0.48 | 6.58 | |||||||
ISHARES FTSE NAREIT MORTG PLUS CAPPED INDEX FUND | 41.97 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |